CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56beadacfdc98727657e65e2c94662794252e57e5d7bd1f27263f1354d4d30a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof RUSTEC, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed RUSTEC | 57c | 1,297$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.14 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brute | 43c | 1,126$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.39 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Brute | 38c | 503.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.66 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked RUSTEC | 51c | 481.14$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.38 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Brute | 49c | 397.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked Brute | 25c | 388.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.73 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed RUSTEC | 63c | 364.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.78 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Brute | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Brute | 38c | 175.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked RUSTEC | 74c | 169.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Brute | 41c | 137.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked RUSTEC | 61c | 104.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed RUSTEC | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brute | 44c | 77.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked RUSTEC | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked RUSTEC | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed RUSTEC | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RUSTEC | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RUSTEC | 54c | 21.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Brute | 65c | 19.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 PlayoffsRUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerRUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.