TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6632…7738

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 48 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Valorant at 48 out of 100; worst Tennis at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-6.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Fiona Ferrobacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Madrid Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Naomi Osakabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Sergey Fominbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Abidjan: Yanki Erel vs Hamish Stewartbacked Yanki Erel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Andrea Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Madrid Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Oeiras 4: Darja Semenistaja vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samsonbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.