MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa175f6fb25ed739df9ac91a098acdfac510f100b6c855c9d6224b0bcde780a9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 59,999$25,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,799.49 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 54,703$31,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,975.19 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 48,710$27,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,945.3 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 43,948$18,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,458.27 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 22,821$9,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,356.62 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 16,367$9,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,051.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 14,768$8,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 13,920$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,124.81 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 11,294$6,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 8,660$5,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.2 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 7,931$5,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.75 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 7,255$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 7,117$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.48 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.97 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 4,694$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.4 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 4,129$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 4,018$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,008$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.87 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…db73backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,964$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 3,866$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.86 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 3,551$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.54 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 3,475$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,420$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.06 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,176$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 2,554$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.01 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,440$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.31 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 2,352$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.99 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 2,212$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.95 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,199$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.37 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 1,833$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,766$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 1,430$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.46 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 1,310$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.76 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 1,298$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.15 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 1,178$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.94 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.6 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,137$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,127$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.59 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,095$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.76 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,078$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.54 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 963.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 919.42$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.59 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 907.93$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.86 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 903.69$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.29 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 878.55$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.56 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 840$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 820.52$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.65 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 804.89$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…034ebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 745.4$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 686.56$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.49 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 682.36$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 617.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 598.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 593.25$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.03 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 585.93$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.23 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 569.75$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 561.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 536.21$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.83 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 530$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 528.59$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 499.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 488.8$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 469.59$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 466.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…c45dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 441.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 421.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 413.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 74c | 398.59$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 367.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 347.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 333$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 316.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 304.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 282.42$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 282.32$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 276.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 275.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 275.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 269.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 268$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 267.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 264.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 261.01$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 257.56$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 249.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 236.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 233.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 228$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 227.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 211.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 207.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.