MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65bfd79d034b37b389cd939c49367d6fdb690c55692bfdda7aa4718b600b267b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad2b…f091backed San Francisco Giants | 23c | 76,313$17,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,692.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 55,970$43,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,459.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 78c | 16,902$13,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 13,945$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,482.35 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 12,130$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.55 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 11,705$7,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 9,571$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 6,732$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 6,623$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.58 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 5,271$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.71 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 4,192$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.73 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 4,012$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.36 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,922$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.3 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,719$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.98 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,674$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.17 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,479$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.21 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 3,211$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 2,786$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 2,621$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,539$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 2,393$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 16c | 2,210$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,083$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.38 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 1,991$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.95 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 1,852$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,756$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.33 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,600$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,482$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked San Francisco Giants | 21c | 1,142$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…622abacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 988$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 984.61$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.15 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Francisco Giants | 19c | 830.78$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 786.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked San Francisco Giants | 14c | 758.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 733.72$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.17 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 679$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 577.39$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 575.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 540$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 523.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 489.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 463.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.84 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 440.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 420.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 412.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 411.53$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…c2d6backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 382.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked San Francisco Giants | 10c | 362.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 354.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 353$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 316.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 311.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 273.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 269.89$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 268.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc680…458fbacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 263.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 247.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 241.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…767fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 235.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 230.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 204.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 203.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 196.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 195.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…c3b9backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 178.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 177.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 173.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked San Francisco Giants | 17c | 164.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 143.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 127.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 12.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 14.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.