MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb86da2c046d9cae057d2c7897981165a56f8375b5723e3e1f8f4496034554c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 42c | 25,687$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750.24 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Houston Astros | 2c | 20,021$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.69 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 15,624$9,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,562.15 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 61c | 15,421$9,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,074.06 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Houston Astros | 43c | 14,532$6,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,248.73 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 59c | 11,096$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575.27 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Houston Astros | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.98 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 21c | 6,323$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.08 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 0c | 5,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 9c | 5,548$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.94 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed New York Yankees | 59c | 5,241$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.35 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed New York Yankees | 59c | 4,910$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.13 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 4,828$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.81 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 41c | 4,701$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.45 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 42c | 4,099$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.79 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed New York Yankees | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.96 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed New York Yankees | 58c | 3,734$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.49 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 41c | 3,497$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.73 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 21c | 2,660$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.99 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 59c | 2,439$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.79 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed New York Yankees | 58c | 2,333$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 1c | 2,122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed New York Yankees | 58c | 2,017$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.07 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Houston Astros | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,981$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.12 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,902$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.66 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 19c | 1,594$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.91 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 16c | 1,591$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.94 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 56c | 1,324$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.35 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Houston Astros | 15c | 1,318$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,210$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.81 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,176$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.12 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Houston Astros | 15c | 1,052$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 1,040$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.71 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Houston Astros | 28c | 1,023$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.58 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,013$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.79 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 72c | 1,011$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.06 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 1,010$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.51 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,002$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.76 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed New York Yankees | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 23c | 981.62$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 975.4$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.91 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Yankees | 59c | 886.34$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.4 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed New York Yankees | 58c | 816.58$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.96 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b757backed New York Yankees | 58c | 672.28$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked New York Yankees | 58c | 630.26$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.71 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 43c | 595.43$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Yankees | 59c | 578.63$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.24 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Houston Astros | 16c | 563.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Yankees | 73c | 554.62$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Yankees | 59c | 553.02$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Houston Astros | 42c | 545.3$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed New York Yankees | 72c | 504.52$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 499.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Houston Astros | 42c | 490.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.21 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…98a7backed New York Yankees | 64c | 475.22$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Houston Astros | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed New York Yankees | 57c | 428.65$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 414.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Yankees | 57c | 411.46$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Houston Astros | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Houston Astros | 42c | 376.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Houston Astros | 41c | 360.62$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.85 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 41c | 349.53$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked New York Yankees | 58c | 341.18$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed New York Yankees | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed New York Yankees | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Houston Astros | 21c | 320.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Houston Astros | 21c | 319.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Houston Astros | 11c | 309.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Houston Astros | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Houston Astros | 13c | 290.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Houston Astros | 43c | 289.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Houston Astros | 42c | 273.69$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed New York Yankees | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed New York Yankees | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Houston Astros | 42c | 239.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Houston Astros | 41c | 236.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 232.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 212.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Houston Astros | 13c | 212.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 42c | 209.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros | 42c | 206.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Houston Astros | 42c | 204.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees | 72c | 203.57$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 202.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Houston Astros | 12c | 200.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 199.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 21c | 198.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Houston Astros | 21c | 196.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 194.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-9.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.