Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9c7b2eb479a10415105e39c9bb822f756269b6588ab1c4404aeb19ab5c69d1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof Saint Joseph's Hawks, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,028 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed VCU Rams | 74c | 6,421$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.4 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 2c | 6,314$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 5,555$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.29 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked VCU Rams | 74c | 2,257$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.89 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 1,987$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.5 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed VCU Rams | 74c | 1,745$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.68 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 1,291$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.66 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 1,265$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.77 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 9c | 538.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked VCU Rams | 74c | 496.63$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 14c | 346.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked VCU Rams | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 27c | 300.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 233.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 16c | 219.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed VCU Rams | 74c | 201.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 186$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 185.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed VCU Rams | 74c | 173.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…cbbebacked VCU Rams | 74c | 134.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 27c | 128.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked VCU Rams | 74c | 113.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked VCU Rams | 74c | 99.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…81a9backed VCU Rams | 75c | 59.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 28c | 59.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…52d7backed VCU Rams | 74c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked VCU Rams | 74c | 18.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Ramsthis page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.