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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No68c3,518$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.122,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes64c2,323$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.6527133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes14c2,131$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.118,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes10c1,800$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6293444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked No24c1,080$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.331442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes12c910$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.88624.4%21 W · 65 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c733.48$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.71,55745.1%702 W · 855 L+19.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes35c701.01$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.8213234.1%45 W · 87 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No44c574.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4727050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No41c436.94$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.781,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c385$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes16c380$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.246530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes36c324.89$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.811,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c284.8$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.021,33956.9%762 W · 577 L+55.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3211…49e2backed Yes20c276.05$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.251233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c208.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.955,82145.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L+97.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15483642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes46c182.17$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3718140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c181.48$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.881,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes43c172.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No75c143$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.056235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c128.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2781740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes80c125.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10510326.2%27 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes38c109.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6137355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.274362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes22c89.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.154320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed No25c81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205234.6%18 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+121.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes79c77.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6982834.5%286 W · 542 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No22c66.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No77c60.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8414954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3732936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e7…5284backed Yes20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No77c51.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.765950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No48c45.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.871,27156%712 W · 559 L+71.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c39.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.713,44651.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L+21.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No78c32.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510880.6%87 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd088…f6ffbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No47c26.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4610160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9369…8b85backed No79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe4…52d7backed No79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e16…fe0abacked No79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…9cb4backed No65c16.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073e…8416backed No79c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8520%1 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick72cpaid-74%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52560%15 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.