Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb53f3852aa1405b39ffb8f62fe9efb97b461aa443445f7744845c15efd4b1e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 717.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 393.34$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 26c | 353.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.73 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 341.43$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.36 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 265.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 26c | 249.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…30ddbacked Yes | 76c | 223$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 28c | 178.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 16c | 145$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 43c | 139$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 25c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 36c | 111.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 33c | 47.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 45.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…eca4backed Yes | 80c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…8b85backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…52d7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 73c | 15.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.