Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9988dbb30599d2f889ad73272001f1886dd81e4f31ac987cb819bb3d1be5db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 14c | 9,990$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,591.39 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 6,501$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed No | 15c | 5,552$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 15c | 4,447$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.12 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked No | 15c | 2,331$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +298.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 72c | 1,480$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.83 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 38c | 884.32$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.32 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 18c | 703.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.19 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 538.06$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 455.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked No | 14c | 395.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…ee73backed No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 260.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 16c | 253.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.47 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 70c | 228.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…5bb4backed No | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 31c | 193.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 190.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 15c | 171.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 30c | 166.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 25c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 11c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 96.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 92.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 32c | 87.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 14c | 71.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked No | 15c | 70.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 64.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 53.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 71c | 46.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2794…7a76backed Yes | 69c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 14.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.