NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e5ea2668912b166b3841d6869c78c4f08cf76a04ac33d4ab08800babbdc6ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Golden Knights, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,103 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 41c | 47,941$19,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,768.18 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 55c | 19,716$10,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,872.22 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 14,029$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.23 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 58c | 12,183$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.86 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 59c | 10,829$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.07 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Stars | 46c | 8,665$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.24 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 58c | 7,593$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.55 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 38c | 6,676$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.07 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Stars | 58c | 6,398$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.48 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 53c | 5,577$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Stars | 60c | 4,000$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.31 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights | 62c | 3,624$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.27 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 48c | 3,461$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.21 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stars | 59c | 3,426$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.66 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 3,031$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.02 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Stars | 60c | 2,875$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.09 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Stars | 59c | 2,867$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.56 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Golden Knights | 15c | 2,824$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.54 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Stars | 57c | 2,547$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.08 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 2,222$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars | 57c | 2,210$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.64 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stars | 58c | 2,160$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.36 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 58c | 2,056$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.57 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Golden Knights | 40c | 2,035$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.14 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 58c | 2,029$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.81 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Golden Knights | 14c | 2,024$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.31 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights | 41c | 1,888$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.08 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 58c | 1,730$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.37 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Stars | 59c | 1,707$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.92 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 39c | 1,634$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Golden Knights | 42c | 1,571$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.01 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Stars | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,275$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.75 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 40c | 1,058$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.78 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Stars | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Stars | 59c | 990$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.9 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Golden Knights | 41c | 976$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Stars | 59c | 937.48$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.48 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 919.74$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.69 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 897.13$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.45 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Stars | 58c | 860$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Golden Knights | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…ca38backed Golden Knights | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Stars | 76c | 703$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Stars | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.03 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…884ebacked Golden Knights | 41c | 680$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Stars | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 633$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 59c | 622.73$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.52 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights | 38c | 610.34$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Golden Knights | 42c | 595.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 579.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Stars | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Golden Knights | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 42c | 499.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Stars | 79c | 470$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights | 10c | 460$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…933cbacked Stars | 59c | 460$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…8b3dbacked Golden Knights | 11c | 449.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Golden Knights | 54c | 444.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.87 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed Stars | 58c | 431.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Stars | 37c | 426$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Stars | 59c | 423.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.86 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…ea40backed Stars | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 411.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Stars | 68c | 398.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Stars | 58c | 393.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Stars | 62c | 392.54$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Golden Knights | 23c | 389$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 384.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Stars | 44c | 383$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2b87backed Stars | 60c | 380$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Golden Knights | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…d9a0backed Stars | 60c | 353.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…43c2backed Stars | 60c | 347$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852b…d89fbacked Stars | 60c | 340.35$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Stars | 59c | 339.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Golden Knights | 20c | 339.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…5a61backed Golden Knights | 41c | 338.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…8063backed Golden Knights | 41c | 329.69$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…e330backed Golden Knights | 41c | 328.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Golden Knights | 21c | 326$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Golden Knights | 41c | 320$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Stars | 59c | 302.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 62c | 301.86$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Stars | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Golden Knights | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Golden Knights | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Golden Knights | 32c | 286.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Stars | 59c | 283.12$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Golden Knights | 42c | 281.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Stars | 75c | 265.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Golden Knights | 64c | 264.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Starsthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.