Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Elina Svitolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c32c17c3870c3baf07fbf52797b0fc1f08bff6de903f98979a952f07b9509f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Yastremska, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yastremska | 6c | 9,480$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.99 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yastremska | 23c | 4,665$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.84 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yastremska | 19c | 3,896$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yastremska | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yastremska | 21c | 2,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yastremska | 16c | 1,312$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yastremska | 8c | 1,244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yastremska | 14c | 1,091$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.11 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Yastremska | 20c | 1,081$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Svitolina | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yastremska | 6c | 966.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yastremska | 20c | 781.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Svitolina | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…3930backed Svitolina | 78c | 556.41$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yastremska | 11c | 545.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…783bbacked Yastremska | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yastremska | 5c | 406.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Svitolina | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…96f0backed Yastremska | 6c | 352.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Yastremska | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Svitolina | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yastremska | 8c | 169.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Yastremska | 8c | 159.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Svitolina | 79c | 152.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Svitolina | 79c | 128.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Svitolina | 79c | 127.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yastremska | 18c | 108.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Svitolina | 79c | 102.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yastremska | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Svitolina | 80c | 93.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yastremska | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Yastremska | 21c | 72.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yastremska | 18c | 72.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yastremska | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Svitolina | 79c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…84a2backed Svitolina | 79c | 63.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Svitolina | 79c | 55.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…3a19backed Svitolina | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Svitolina | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Svitolina | 79c | 30.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Svitolina | 79c | 25.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Svitolina | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…f5c5backed Svitolina | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Svitolina | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…6bc6backed Svitolina | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…8eacbacked Svitolina | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…52d7backed Svitolina | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked Svitolina | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked Svitolina | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…e3a5backed Svitolina | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…ebeabacked Svitolina | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…35d7backed Svitolina | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…c550backed Svitolina | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Elina Svitolinathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Yastremska vs SvitolinaSvitolina won
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Yastremska (+1.5)Svitolina won
- Yastremska vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Yastremska vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Yastremska vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Yastremska vs. Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.