Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho State Bengals vs. Eastern Washington Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3692fbc1f21f7ffc4c42ea5e018169a2e78391b4a3ea866b467d0d7cfd7e938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Washington Eaglesof Idaho State Bengals, Eastern Washington Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 5,906$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.52 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 61c | 4,070$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.3 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Idaho State Bengals | 40c | 510$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Idaho State Bengals | 8c | 320$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 68c | 313.13$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho State Bengals | 43c | 267.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 60c | 253$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Idaho State Bengals | 22c | 243.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 61c | 243$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Idaho State Bengals | 40c | 216.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 56c | 202.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 193$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 78c | 178.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Idaho State Bengals | 25c | 159$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Idaho State Bengals | 21c | 159$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 127.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 59c | 103.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Idaho State Bengals | 28c | 50.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…0b32backed Idaho State Bengals | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…ff78backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 74c | 40.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Idaho State Bengals | 44c | 31.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 60c | 21.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesthis page
- Idaho State Bengals vs. Eastern Washington Eagles: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Eastern Washington Eagles (-3.5)Eastern Washington Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.