CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8c0040b4982445d91e09e88e56bab6864080be78fc79a9c85123eff0324b930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- kONO.ECFof Leo Team, kONO.ECF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42f…8c01backed Leo Team | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed kONO.ECF | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Leo Team | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked kONO.ECF | 68c | 444.05$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed kONO.ECF | 52c | 313.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed kONO.ECF | 73c | 273.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed kONO.ECF | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Leo Team | 29c | 175.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Leo Team | 60c | 163.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Leo Team | 64c | 156.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed kONO.ECF | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…2caebacked kONO.ECF | 41c | 105.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed kONO.ECF | 33c | 85.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked Leo Team | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed kONO.ECF | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ac45backed Leo Team | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked kONO.ECF | 71c | 69.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed kONO.ECF | 35c | 68.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Leo Team | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Leo Team | 53c | 61.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Leo Team | 65c | 57.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Leo Team | 54c | 56.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…451fbacked kONO.ECF | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6774…2e8abacked Leo Team | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked kONO.ECF | 29c | 49.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…e89dbacked Leo Team | 37c | 40.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed kONO.ECF | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…0b32backed kONO.ECF | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Leo Team | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed kONO.ECF | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed kONO.ECF | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Leo Team | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Leo Team | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5a…9f73backed Leo Team | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs kONO.ECF - Map 1 WinnerkONO.ECF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.