CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs PRIME (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe527cb59f6a0f01e649187fffa8f436b589d03b6c2c05ebb9993f3308582d32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PRIMEof Ursa, PRIME
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Ursa | 58c | 2,106$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.3 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed PRIME | 37c | 574.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.92 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed PRIME | 46c | 428$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.12 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed PRIME | 48c | 360$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed PRIME | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 49c | 129$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed PRIME | 15c | 113.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed PRIME | 45c | 89.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed PRIME | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…b6bdbacked PRIME | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked PRIME | 48c | 48.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Ursa | 52c | 47.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed PRIME | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3c69backed PRIME | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…0b32backed PRIME | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked PRIME | 37c | 40.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed PRIME | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…0661backed Ursa | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.