TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northern Kentucky Norse vs. IU Indy Jaguars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northern Kentucky Norseof Northern Kentucky Norse, IU Indy Jaguars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x294a…bbbabacked IU Indy Jaguars0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick2cpaid-63.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked IU Indy Jaguars41c5,281$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.211,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse41c4,330$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.015,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a1…54f5backed IU Indy Jaguars31c1,200$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383f…faafbacked Northern Kentucky Norse69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Northern Kentucky Norse39c987.41$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.4112230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Northern Kentucky Norse70c871$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.071,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed IU Indy Jaguars73c794$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.862,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed IU Indy Jaguars50c715.67$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.733,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse69c559.98$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5937142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed IU Indy Jaguars60c527.57$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.362,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Northern Kentucky Norse40c505.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.211028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed IU Indy Jaguars52c503.35$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.72,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Northern Kentucky Norse37c469.98$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0925325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Northern Kentucky Norse53c454$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3425246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed IU Indy Jaguars30c402.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed IU Indy Jaguars55c383.21$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.083,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed IU Indy Jaguars31c362$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed IU Indy Jaguars30c356.44$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.252,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked IU Indy Jaguars32c328.69$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked IU Indy Jaguars31c322.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Kentucky Norse44c317.01$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.951,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Northern Kentucky Norse49c286.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Northern Kentucky Norse70c281$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.631,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed IU Indy Jaguars51c275.92$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.122,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed IU Indy Jaguars61c262.75$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.436942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse40c249.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9140252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse55c245.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.81,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars56c203.7$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked IU Indy Jaguars30c199.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed IU Indy Jaguars44c190.01$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.811,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef4…10eabacked IU Indy Jaguars36c176$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed IU Indy Jaguars60c166$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.622157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Northern Kentucky Norse37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.169037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse79c157.35$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.684,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed IU Indy Jaguars47c153.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Northern Kentucky Norse70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05aa…aca6backed Northern Kentucky Norse39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.214344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed IU Indy Jaguars31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Northern Kentucky Norse71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2921449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse52c99.46$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.378347%39 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.567350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked IU Indy Jaguars60c95.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0771655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed Northern Kentucky Norse60c89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.65844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed IU Indy Jaguars39c88.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3413350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Northern Kentucky Norse69c87.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked IU Indy Jaguars59c86.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.061,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed IU Indy Jaguars30c66.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0125230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked IU Indy Jaguars32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked IU Indy Jaguars64c62.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.935750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed IU Indy Jaguars51c58.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Northern Kentucky Norse44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8223941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fb…d13abacked IU Indy Jaguars66c52.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.934070%28 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ca…ae4abacked IU Indy Jaguars64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5efa…5cacbacked IU Indy Jaguars72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed IU Indy Jaguars59c48.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.092,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked IU Indy Jaguars32c47.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x980e…c819backed IU Indy Jaguars59c46.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2250%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed IU Indy Jaguars44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2ff…0b32backed IU Indy Jaguars55c45.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57fb…1336backed IU Indy Jaguars67c45.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked IU Indy Jaguars68c44.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.381936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Northern Kentucky Norse69c42.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.075855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Northern Kentucky Norse56c41.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.486154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Northern Kentucky Norse58c41.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse52c40.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.491,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Northern Kentucky Norse66c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4227358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…e1abbacked IU Indy Jaguars33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de1…bc60backed IU Indy Jaguars30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed IU Indy Jaguars32c39.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.713,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Northern Kentucky Norse40c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.844146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Northern Kentucky Norse39c36.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7125239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed IU Indy Jaguars45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.181,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec3…4db1backed IU Indy Jaguars68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97a…08e9backed Northern Kentucky Norse58c29.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.291770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6774…2e8abacked IU Indy Jaguars74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Northern Kentucky Norse46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4730945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed IU Indy Jaguars43c24.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.571,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf5b3…0886backed IU Indy Jaguars63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Northern Kentucky Norse71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e0…be18backed Northern Kentucky Norse70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68664%55 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Northern Kentucky Norse75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.766657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.