TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa97a…08e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+140%+$28
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.5%+$7.72
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+316.6%+$99.73
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+40.1%+$14.3
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Liberty Flames vs. UTEP Minersbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.6%+$20
California Golden Bears vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.4
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Rider Broncsbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+73.3%+$12.29
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.77
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$60.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.