TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over51c41,059$21,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,059.0289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Under51c35,294$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,294.128957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.995244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c16,073$7,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,211.6412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe506…7c70backed Under51c13,748$6,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,775.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over49c13,734$6,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,729.5730249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under50c11,079$5,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,505.689850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdb…e2eebacked Under50c11,032$5,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c11,013$5,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,526.5841752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under49c10,978$5,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,562.221,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7090…8154backed Over50c10,333$5,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,166.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26e…7b13backed Under50c10,071$5,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,035.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc504…9301backed Over50c9,978$4,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,98910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over51c9,158$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ee…feeebacked Over50c8,668$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,33410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e0…80c2backed Over50c8,362$4,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,18110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x105e…34f7backed Under50c7,083$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c5…fdc0backed Over50c6,979$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf7…890ebacked Over50c6,972$3,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5418…b24abacked Under50c6,965$3,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe367…572ebacked Under50c6,923$3,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,461.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…c867backed Under50c6,910$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeafc…50c3backed Over50c6,904$3,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ae…9a79backed Under50c6,865$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a0…826ebacked Under50c6,726$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff2…6a32backed Over50c6,698$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,34910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e97…bc1abacked Under50c6,680$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe572…3674backed Under50c6,676$3,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc236…6d47backed Over50c6,647$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d6…89c7backed Under50c6,621$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fe…d12ebacked Over50c6,541$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,270.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a5c…85b8backed Over50c6,539$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ec…77dabacked Over50c6,382$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,19110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27bc…4e51backed Under50c6,358$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2006…f0ecbacked Over50c6,334$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,16710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef9c…8422backed Over50c6,332$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,16610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b69…3474backed Under50c6,314$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e9…930bbacked Over50c6,305$3,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00bc…7defbacked Over50c6,259$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4653…fc7dbacked Under50c6,153$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…975ebacked Under50c6,128$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa82…0980backed Over50c6,127$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56de…3c45backed Over50c6,091$3,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1c…9c47backed Over50c6,077$3,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449f…97d2backed Under50c6,062$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadd1…15d9backed Under50c6,053$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c64…874abacked Over50c6,032$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1546…1fd6backed Under50c5,984$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf65a…5cc8backed Over50c5,825$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…e5bcbacked Over50c5,777$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe516…a222backed Under50c5,773$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadad…a60cbacked Over50c5,761$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc6…183fbacked Over50c5,659$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd591…aef8backed Under50c5,509$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x549f…21e2backed Under50c5,489$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b81…3934backed Over50c5,409$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa876…c3aabacked Under50c5,246$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa0…7a93backed Over50c5,245$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa140…e54cbacked Under50c5,236$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd896…4b39backed Under50c5,162$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00db…f567backed Under50c5,160$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede4…b4acbacked Under50c5,142$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…7a99backed Under50c5,139$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cf…1892backed Under50c5,087$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd73…86d2backed Over50c5,011$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under49c5,000$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.21060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe756…f1b9backed Over50c4,995$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af9…190abacked Over50c4,981$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3775…2a16backed Under50c4,970$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab3…abd1backed Under50c4,932$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ff…f03abacked Over50c4,921$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb465…784dbacked Under50c4,810$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c31bbacked Over50c4,762$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Under53c4,740$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.347047.1%33 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b5…208ebacked Under50c4,729$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397a…2dcabacked Under50c4,728$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under49c3,941$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.5274649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…37bbbacked Over50c3,810$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4105740.4%23 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013453%71 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under53c1,046$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.451,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under49c1,045$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.0155840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40855749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c564$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.361,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under48c537.53$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.743,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over54c519.09$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807448.6%36 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Over50c499.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over52c307.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.832,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c1…9511backed Under38c252.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.371346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed Under50c249.4$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11031647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c196$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.961,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under63c152.33$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0223363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over49c142$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.144535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x055a…d83bbacked Over53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over49c140$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.