Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29cf9478a4185c37f9275972b6272ef7f26159fa40705613a5d2dd2e7fde225b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof Duke Blue Devils, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 9,293$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.77 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 9,139$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.8 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 6,762$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.14 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duke Blue Devils | 46c | 3,822$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Clemson Tigers | 56c | 3,359$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.93 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.97 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Clemson Tigers | 6c | 1,419$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.39 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 46c | 1,143$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 45c | 819.4$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.73 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…e09cbacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 661.22$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…9dd4backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 661.22$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…a748backed Duke Blue Devils | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Duke Blue Devils | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Duke Blue Devils | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 250.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 207.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Clemson Tigers | 32c | 199.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 161$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Clemson Tigers | 55c | 130.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Duke Blue Devils | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Clemson Tigers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Duke Blue Devils | 46c | 90.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…2822backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 83.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Duke Blue Devils | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 60.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Clemson Tigers | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Clemson Tigers | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Clemson Tigers | 47c | 49.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 48.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 44.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Duke Blue Devils | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Clemson Tigers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Duke Blue Devils | 45c | 33.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Duke Blue Devils | 50c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Clemson Tigers | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…6259backed Clemson Tigers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-13.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 132.5Under won
- Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.