South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd054149183e35da05f43a3269c000e970ce46fb08c25cae0002297333994370e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 8,793$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.78 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 5,364$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.45 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 2,994$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.93 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 53c | 1,514$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 31c | 1,305$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 990.91$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.33 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 59c | 986.9$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 62c | 747$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 70c | 716.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 60c | 712.5$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 649.73$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.08 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 55c | 275.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 53c | 256.21$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 39c | 254.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa321…751abacked Over | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 68c | 178.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 8c | 168.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 165.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 66c | 152.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Over | 70c | 142.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 46c | 121.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 31c | 108.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 106.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Under | 45c | 88.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 40c | 75.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 69.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 55c | 50.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 69c | 49.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 39c | 48.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 46.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 70c | 45.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 41.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Over | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 69c | 31.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed Over | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 69c | 23.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 53c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 55c | 19.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 70c | 15.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.