South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd38dd7266dd63d3ce44a2d0b6b0bc27dfaa4b1585996590a517b81790a1f88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 8,667$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 7,637$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.8 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 26c | 2,975$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.23 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 2,407$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.75 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 73c | 1,367$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Over | 25c | 1,131$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 1,115$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 1,107$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 26c | 1,071$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 27c | 727.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 73c | 707.32$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Over | 22c | 606.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 43c | 208.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 38c | 195$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 21c | 182.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 44c | 182.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 75c | 158.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 150.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 35c | 141.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…3f4fbacked Over | 42c | 136.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 33c | 132.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 27c | 123$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 61c | 114$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 29c | 106.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Over | 15c | 104.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 31c | 94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 30c | 87.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 60c | 80.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…4341backed Over | 42c | 73.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 57c | 72.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 21c | 69.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 27c | 52.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0c8cbacked Over | 27c | 42.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a04…922cbacked Under | 73c | 34.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 56c | 30.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 42c | 27.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…1cd6backed Under | 58c | 23.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.