South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8bfd88baf7ff32d61f73b293062c48e0dde6705d22a77d8287506a947da1a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 3,932$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.85 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Over | 80c | 3,717$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 2,927$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.1 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,892$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 76c | 1,829$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 40c | 1,456$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 72c | 1,416$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.31 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 44c | 799.9$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 33c | 763.94$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 43c | 751.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.79 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 79c | 693.66$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 380.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 38c | 379.71$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…f1f4backed Under | 26c | 359.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 56c | 355$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 63c | 319.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed Under | 23c | 265.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Over | 44c | 239.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 80c | 236.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Over | 79c | 213.12$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 57c | 176.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 75c | 126.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 28c | 93.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 29c | 66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Over | 39c | 51.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 48c | 51.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 38c | 49.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…b671backed Over | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 38c | 39.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 55c | 36.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed Under | 56c | 35.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…86fbbacked Under | 57c | 35.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 73c | 34.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…fcd6backed Over | 45c | 31.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…5da5backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 29.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Over | 76c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.