South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91eab514f0816ab46a08380eb9e264274baa2edf018456b0e97a51c2da049d4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 754.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.38 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 54c | 536.52$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 390.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 218.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 44c | 208.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 71c | 141.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Yes | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed No | 38c | 72.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Yes | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Yes | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Yes | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.