Movies · resolved market
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x326d466039f8c8cf31f40ea130ec9307ab38cc709e7528e8e8fdeefadbd5b727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 71c | 7,389$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.58 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 75c | 4,690$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.97 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 71c | 4,406$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.73 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 54c | 3,877$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.56 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 64c | 2,819$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.51 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed No | 13c | 2,004$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 34c | 1,591$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.51 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 1,411$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 77c | 1,186$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked No | 63c | 1,134$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 1,067$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.4 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 39c | 851.87$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 40c | 746.35$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.26 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed No | 14c | 716.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 37c | 688$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 8c | 673.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked No | 63c | 661$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed No | 13c | 603.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…cd66backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 37c | 524$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 79c | 516.46$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 54c | 502.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 52c | 502.42$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.09 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…404abacked No | 5c | 502.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed No | 57c | 502$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked No | 60c | 457.48$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 50c | 419.38$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 405.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 3c | 370.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…1f15backed Yes | 43c | 359$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 47c | 353.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 57c | 345$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 77c | 332.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 77c | 289.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…bf4dbacked No | 18c | 272.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0522…9591backed No | 7c | 268.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…9811backed Yes | 70c | 259$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 258.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…d36cbacked No | 15c | 253.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 9c | 252.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 37c | 251$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 68c | 240$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 68c | 240$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…9a24backed No | 40c | 238.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…beeebacked Yes | 55c | 216.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…638abacked No | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 37c | 195$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 20c | 192.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…6babbacked No | 30c | 183$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e06…f72bbacked No | 12c | 157.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 155.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 20c | 152.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed Yes | 40c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 14c | 147.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 41c | 146.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed No | 14c | 143.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 43c | 143$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…5db0backed Yes | 72c | 139.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked Yes | 37c | 137$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 32c | 127.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3165…6bc4backed Yes | 56c | 122.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…ad6bbacked Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 65c | 114.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 113.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 39c | 113.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 42c | 111.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 210 | 9.5%20 W · 190 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 60c | 97.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 27c | 94.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 35c | 90.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 72c | 89.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…63a7backed No | 14c | 85.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 70c | 80.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 62c | 79.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 61c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Yes | 60c | 77.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…2bfbbacked Yes | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8472backed No | 14c | 72.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 69.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 25c | 66.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…cc07backed No | 44c | 61.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…bd99backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Yes | 73c | 41.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 41c | 38.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 73c | 34.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…98a3backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed No | 35c | 32.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 56c | 32.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed No | 37c | 32.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…b4e2backed Yes | 62c | 30.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…2c75backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502f…c23dbacked Yes | 72c | 29.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…182ebacked Yes | 63c | 27.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 56c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?this page
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?No won
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?No won
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?No won
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.