Movies · resolved market
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f6353c47b0a348034e0817912bd2b33206eef3b3d57392509e4c440ca8a8cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,711$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 16c | 7,930$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…a920backed Yes | 41c | 5,701$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 32c | 4,908$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.85 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,656$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.44 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 1c | 3,879$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 26c | 3,736$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.82 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 6c | 3,033$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…4c7dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,008$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ef…35d6backed Yes | 7c | 2,535$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…83b8backed Yes | 4c | 2,300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…8336backed Yes | 12c | 2,268$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.44 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,236$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,060$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,056$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 16c | 1,997$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.32 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,908$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 17c | 1,631$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.43 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 25c | 1,620$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.19 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 74c | 1,600$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…404abacked Yes | 4c | 1,539$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 38c | 1,505$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.84 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 18c | 1,104$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,067$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 12c | 950.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 32c | 890.18$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.51 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…d33bbacked Yes | 9c | 745.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 652.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 23c | 641.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…32a7backed Yes | 22c | 635$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 21c | 580.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.51 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 562.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019f…ca69backed Yes | 40c | 521.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 39c | 512.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 11c | 500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 5c | 498.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 9c | 472.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…cd66backed Yes | 7c | 468.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 445.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Yes | 47c | 429.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…fc91backed Yes | 48c | 419.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 3c | 385.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 27c | 348.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.69 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 5c | 345$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 20c | 337.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 337.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…bc9ebacked Yes | 6c | 337$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…0bd4backed Yes | 16c | 286.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 8c | 270.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…deecbacked Yes | 6c | 264.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…1bd6backed Yes | 10c | 205.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…490fbacked Yes | 16c | 200.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…87f9backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 48c | 198.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…4509backed Yes | 38c | 166.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d05…de5abacked Yes | 24c | 150.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 13c | 149.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…27e7backed Yes | 25c | 146.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 8c | 137.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 9c | 120.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 10c | 119.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…6babbacked Yes | 28c | 108.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Yes | 27c | 108.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 30c | 97.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 91.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Yes | 33c | 86.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 25c | 80.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…e18dbacked Yes | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…eeb1backed Yes | 24c | 74.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 68.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0522…9591backed Yes | 27c | 61.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 35c | 61.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…5db0backed Yes | 33c | 60.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…a24abacked Yes | 42c | 59.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 24c | 57.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…3fa5backed No | 65c | 56.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…b9b6backed Yes | 35c | 56.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3165…6bc4backed Yes | 45c | 39.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 48c | 39.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed Yes | 35c | 32.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +754.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768e…6577backed No | 79c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…2c75backed No | 68c | 18.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?this page
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?Yes won
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?No won
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?No won
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.