Movies · resolved market
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3407b7f86c3e3fe8fe1289eca03a4e6817873204272b9e3e9b6d8e2332b2bbb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 16c | 8,990$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.39 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 21c | 5,640$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.69 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 72c | 5,480$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.45 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,393$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,001$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.29 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 52c | 2,926$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.52 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 22c | 2,641$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,080$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 2,033$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 38c | 1,865$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.64 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked No | 61c | 1,489$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.78 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,306$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 1,067$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…a203backed Yes | 2c | 838.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed No | 44c | 800.15$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.03 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 42c | 675.49$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.19 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 33c | 664.75$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.83 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 46c | 658$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.68 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 73c | 573.53$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 14c | 548.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 513.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 35c | 509.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 37c | 502.66$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 16c | 486.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Yes | 27c | 468$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 73c | 468$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Yes | 33c | 460$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1d…7b71backed Yes | 3c | 399.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed No | 54c | 382$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 35c | 368.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 63c | 350.95$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 35c | 345$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed No | 53c | 318.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 29c | 304.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed No | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 79c | 287.15$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 54c | 276$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 32c | 256.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed No | 53c | 253.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 20c | 225.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 36c | 209$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked No | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 23c | 169.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…82f7backed Yes | 26c | 143.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…601abacked Yes | 45c | 124.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 43c | 111.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…dd7ebacked Yes | 39c | 109.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 47c | 104.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b4b8backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Yes | 40c | 96.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…d0d3backed Yes | 18c | 84.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…931abacked Yes | 50c | 80.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…ff0dbacked Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22c8…819bbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 52c | 65.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…e4d5backed Yes | 44c | 65.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 53c | 61.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 49c | 57.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 27c | 51.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…500fbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…c299backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 36c | 47.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…4509backed Yes | 31c | 47.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…ac9bbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 26c | 43.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…5db0backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 46c | 35.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…98a3backed No | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 30c | 33.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 39c | 27.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked No | 59c | 27.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…b876backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 61c | 24.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…4b73backed Yes | 53c | 24.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…db89backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…8b84backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…1c5bbacked Yes | 58c | 19.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?this page
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?Yes won
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?No won
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?No won
- Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.