Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a453d485a31f3384a2d886d6b0a3f7667aa3056cfc13908a80961b114119c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40c3…91aabacked Yes | 0c | 27,468$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…634cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,271$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.02 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 39c | 770.03$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed Yes | 77c | 639.4$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 53c | 610$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.91 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…50b5backed Yes | 71c | 607.35$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 36c | 569.59$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.69 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…242abacked Yes | 46c | 457.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.22 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…305ebacked Yes | 56c | 433.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fa86backed Yes | 55c | 419.5$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 417.47$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 48c | 415.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed Yes | 67c | 383.83$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 79c | 380$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed Yes | 78c | 373.64$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 55c | 369.24$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…fe5fbacked No | 55c | 338.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed No | 50c | 334.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 78c | 295.81$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 32c | 258.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.03 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…0fb8backed Yes | 70c | 239.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…6f98backed No | 57c | 227.02$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed No | 38c | 224.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked No | 27c | 216.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 52c | 209.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed Yes | 75c | 208.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 208.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…b092backed Yes | 59c | 187.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…c535backed Yes | 43c | 185.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4425backed No | 65c | 178.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…21debacked No | 30c | 172.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…b2ebbacked Yes | 67c | 161.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…8002backed Yes | 21c | 159.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 55c | 146.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed Yes | 70c | 143.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…7fbcbacked Yes | 62c | 142.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…28a3backed No | 28c | 141.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…6197backed Yes | 79c | 133.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 64c | 129.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a6…dc57backed Yes | 79c | 126.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 28c | 124.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked No | 48c | 123.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 19c | 121.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…ee19backed Yes | 67c | 116.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…7980backed Yes | 75c | 110$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 15c | 105.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17d…bfb5backed Yes | 59c | 104.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…6876backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…c6aabacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…3c17backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 80c | 96.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…29debacked Yes | 46c | 83.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 77.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed No | 40c | 73.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…ab15backed Yes | 73c | 70.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked Yes | 71c | 69.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 39c | 67.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 61c | 65.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Yes | 39c | 64.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…6303backed No | 77c | 64.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed No | 24c | 63.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 78c | 63.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 46c | 62.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 50c | 60.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…a546backed No | 26c | 57.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 38c | 55.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…109bbacked Yes | 35c | 53.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…b749backed Yes | 47c | 52.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…a2b1backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…0274backed Yes | 49c | 51.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…fd5dbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 34c | 49.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 65c | 48.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 40c | 47.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 30c | 46.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…0a27backed Yes | 31c | 46.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…5fc9backed Yes | 47c | 46.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed No | 63c | 45.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749a…8218backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Yes | 36c | 44.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed No | 33c | 44.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 72c | 44.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 72c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on February 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.