Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066b4547e7e233a4d691fc0d1f56e8a20dd4f291592d289922eab9b4bfa98a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 20c | 4,433$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…65cfbacked No | 57c | 3,369$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 50c | 1,442$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 3c | 1,273$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 63c | 1,036$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.94 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,006$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.48 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked Yes | 3c | 985.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe55…f943backed Yes | 14c | 966.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 43c | 900$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.74 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed No | 77c | 899.98$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 887.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…a2fdbacked Yes | 5c | 833.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 32c | 738.16$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 4c | 688.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked No | 70c | 679.29$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…305ebacked Yes | 23c | 669.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…6ffdbacked Yes | 5c | 571.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…7feebacked Yes | 8c | 537.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…06f5backed Yes | 20c | 520$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked No | 30c | 504.44$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.83 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…5fc9backed Yes | 51c | 498.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked Yes | 48c | 492.93$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 32c | 485.59$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 40c | 469.49$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…4a60backed Yes | 4c | 449.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked No | 52c | 429.37$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.78 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…7d41backed Yes | 60c | 415.17$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 34c | 397.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.3 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 76c | 377.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc5…af1cbacked Yes | 5c | 354.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 76 | 9.2%7 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 35c | 350$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 342.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 12c | 340.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 331.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…b787backed No | 70c | 328.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked No | 62c | 324.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.35 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 41c | 312.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…b2ebbacked Yes | 32c | 312.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…b4c2backed Yes | 5c | 310.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 23c | 308.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…d5bfbacked No | 43c | 287.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 47c | 276.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 23c | 271.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5845backed Yes | 7c | 269.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…c312backed Yes | 5c | 264.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Yes | 10c | 259.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 22c | 257.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 31c | 252.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…6876backed Yes | 25c | 244.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 41c | 241.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Yes | 70c | 235.87$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 68c | 222.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 17c | 216.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 26c | 210.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 66c | 201.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed No | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 33c | 199.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…0977backed Yes | 25c | 194.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…15bdbacked Yes | 26c | 189.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Yes | 9c | 186.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…1480backed Yes | 75c | 178.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked No | 78c | 176.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3984…20e8backed Yes | 16c | 175.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…8d8ebacked No | 57c | 172.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 28c | 164.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 52c | 161.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 18c | 160.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 60c | 152.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…b671backed Yes | 66c | 150.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 61c | 148.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f1…ebd1backed Yes | 11c | 146.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9d0bbacked Yes | 49c | 141.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0172…adf9backed Yes | 10c | 138.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Yes | 19c | 137.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked Yes | 57c | 129.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 68c | 123.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 14c | 121$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed Yes | 67c | 114.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 33c | 111$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…31f6backed Yes | 17c | 105.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 79c | 104.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…3f39backed Yes | 33c | 104.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…63b4backed Yes | 70c | 102.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078d…c1bfbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…afb2backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa381…5fc5backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…c6aabacked No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 46c | 98.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3ad7backed No | 61c | 94.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…d953backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…423ebacked Yes | 16c | 89.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 32c | 84.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 32c | 84.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…ab15backed Yes | 13c | 82.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C or below on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.