Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae4932db1dacc3c41a26b058efab1b6d30fb80a448fa77861bfe158fe9fc9c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 68c | 9,999$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.71 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 7,435$5,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.71 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 32c | 4,348$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.53 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 37c | 3,020$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 72c | 1,652$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.51 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 64c | 1,515$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.28 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 70c | 1,155$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Under | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 36c | 625$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 608.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 64c | 556$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…d33bbacked Over | 31c | 323.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 32c | 295$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 31c | 287.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 68c | 218.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6e03backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 32c | 154.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…b4dcbacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 34c | 130.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 39c | 128.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 61c | 121.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 69c | 113.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 105.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 31c | 103.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 36c | 100.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 64c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 70c | 90.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 66c | 87.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…5165backed Over | 32c | 79.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…295ebacked Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 64c | 59.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…7e54backed Over | 33c | 59.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…ab23backed Over | 33c | 53.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 35c | 50.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…0b29backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 70c | 49.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 32c | 43.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 32c | 38.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…5da5backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed Under | 68c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b56…b641backed Under | 68c | 22.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…233fbacked Under | 64c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…f704backed Under | 68c | 19.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1342backed Under | 68c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d42…4f02backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…8badbacked Under | 68c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 73c | 17.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…9745backed Under | 68c | 17.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…6db0backed Under | 68c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.