TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c12,039$7,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,913.266,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over31c5,999$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.6910924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over24c5,555$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.54641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c2,478$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.012,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.9860728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Over34c1,199$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.831030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under20c1,086$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.472,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c1,040$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.582,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over56c797.78$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.632548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over26c763.65$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Over78c668.53$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.8412545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over33c650.76$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9310234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over54c644.41$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.989550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38537342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over74c488.02$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Over70c447.16$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.991457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over63c445.97$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.962433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under48c418.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7510850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over40c350.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Under75c325.97$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.492254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c292.74$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.251,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7d…dd82backed Over42c261.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.58850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over29c250$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7219853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over21c238.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over78c230.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7923353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over46c227$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4224146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10815740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over53c188.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over33c182$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0625550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under52c181.08$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.087450%37 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over78c180.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1618059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1f…b254backed Over18c154.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over39c154.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.814463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over62c137.63$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over42c132.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7818139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over30c125$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under60c119.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7521049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over32c116$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.620143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over27c115.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.729627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over26c115.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995034%17 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over75c105$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.056168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over44c100.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4210124.8%25 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over16c100.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1132822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649953.5%53 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over26c99.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over52c96.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.091963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c94.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.124,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Under23c90.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9819154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over31c90.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.39641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3206…15a7backed Over46c88.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Under22c85.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over52c80.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over30c77.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9389152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under22c75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.751,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over61c74.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.413842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under40c66.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.517244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over51c62.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.984050%20 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under23c51.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.259246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Under20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under43c49.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.373259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over52c49.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Over48c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over57c44.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over51c33.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over77c32.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9927173.8%200 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over76c31.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245164.7%33 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Over67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc2…501bbacked Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under62c23.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.742658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec5…58eabacked Over52c20.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.831650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over77c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Over75c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.254266.7%28 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6f…5a01backed Over77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.