TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14ac…cb21backed Under50c7,007$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.597147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.976248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c6,620$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.951,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75018948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over23c5,000$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.3710924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under49c4,701$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.529746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Under46c4,450$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4033647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c4,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.2230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under78c3,472$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.795246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c3,307$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.686,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.993452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c2,535$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a3…8278backed Under46c2,311$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.091747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c2,300$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2421,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0806650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over54c1,587$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.7385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under46c1,555$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.71827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under59c1,155$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.962,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over23c1,019$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1312020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c899.19$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.562,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over55c871.93$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.561643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under45c745.95$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.2772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over55c681.82$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd5…6428backed Under51c679$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over15c666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c636.71$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under77c560.8$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.51,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under45c533.97$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.332,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over57c450.58$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.694858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over56c446.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over49c411.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Over55c363.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd67…bb43backed Over55c345.45$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over53c307.86$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.873231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over39c296$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.824146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over55c272.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under46c252.85$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.543542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over40c249.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.983868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over33c213.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over55c210.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over46c208.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9522832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over11c200.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.161,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over54c197.12$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4423435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over23c191.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.649627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over54c185.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.428944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over55c185$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7514166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcff…b4dcbacked Over55c185$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec5…58eabacked Over54c179.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.031650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over56c178.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over55c176.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.944533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over49c171.43$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a51…d812backed Over56c160.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3477…ea61backed Over55c153.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.272166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under57c141.21$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2321049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c134.62$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5571…eb84backed Under46c126.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c120.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Over54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over56c114.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.032020%4 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-68%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under45c107.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd252…2fa7backed Over55c100.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd9f…5a30backed Over42c89.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.412250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over25c79.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6273258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c79.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over54c70.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3840841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Over55c68.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.711637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under46c68.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1929855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over16c65.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.437233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under46c63.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4510048%48 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under71c57.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8618139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c56.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under47c56.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8316357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282a…2866backed Over35c54.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.241729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddc4…413dbacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.518449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Under45c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.512047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe852…3fe6backed Over55c47.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.931827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Over53c47.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205034%17 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Under47c42.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56045%27 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…8a93backed Over55c41.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over54c40.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222653.8%14 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.414648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…8b21backed Under47c39.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under44c37.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2410848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over53c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6310036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b2…3f62backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under46c36.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4923250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.