Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaab99ac658dadf45b86e9a8977749cdff1c96321a5770a3313611f214cb4346f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3c3…bdbbbacked No | 0c | 4,537$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed No | 1c | 3,747$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 1c | 2,851$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Yes | 10c | 2,365$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.74 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…5395backed Yes | 9c | 2,284$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +461.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 3c | 1,299$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.66 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,135$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.37 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 1c | 1,120$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.36 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 13c | 983.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.15 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…c036backed Yes | 23c | 944.32$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc5…af1cbacked Yes | 5c | 942.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.63 | 76 | 9.2%7 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 36c | 861.7$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.49 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 850.38$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…37b4backed Yes | 6c | 809.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 706.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.01 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…9991backed Yes | 4c | 678.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +232.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…0f23backed Yes | 7c | 596.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…1480backed Yes | 12c | 587.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.04 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…7e0abacked Yes | 38c | 537.16$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 5c | 532$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.33 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 37c | 500$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 11c | 490.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.56 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 41c | 487.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 14c | 480.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.12 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…6303backed No | 13c | 422.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…9321backed No | 48c | 396.19$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 21c | 390.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 11c | 371.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.43 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 8c | 366.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.68 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…8405backed Yes | 3c | 338.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 2cpaid | +927.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…d64fbacked Yes | 7c | 316.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.67 | 191 | 71.7%137 W · 54 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 70c | 304.01$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed No | 71c | 300$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 299.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.66 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked Yes | 4c | 286.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.61 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…3f18backed Yes | 18c | 281.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 9c | 260.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…4121backed Yes | 9c | 256.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked Yes | 8c | 251.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7050…3af2backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…31c4backed Yes | 13c | 249.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.77 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 4c | 245.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…c287backed Yes | 8c | 236.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.53 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…242abacked Yes | 9c | 217.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…bd3cbacked Yes | 10c | 195.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…a818backed Yes | 8c | 193.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…dd35backed Yes | 12c | 189.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +760.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 6c | 188.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes | 11c | 187.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.79 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed Yes | 8c | 185.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.91 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…8761backed Yes | 48c | 181.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked No | 77c | 179.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…28a3backed Yes | 24c | 162.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…a0bbbacked Yes | 8c | 157$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +508.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…e67fbacked Yes | 10c | 148.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 30c | 131.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 75c | 120.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…797bbacked Yes | 14c | 94.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +264%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…a9e6backed Yes | 17c | 90.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…d852backed Yes | 14c | 90.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 13c | 88.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…0977backed Yes | 29c | 81.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 67c | 77.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 55c | 72.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Yes | 52c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 77c | 61.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 53.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 158 | 18.4%29 W · 129 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed Yes | 39c | 52.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…c1dbbacked Yes | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Yes | 29c | 49.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…1f3fbacked Yes | 57c | 44.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…86f4backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed No | 57c | 34.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 50c | 32.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…84d5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 97 | 78.4%76 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked No | 56c | 17.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked No | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed No | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.