NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b029da5eee6af9f9a656c50683a962ee1766597e9fbd9f816be6a5440ac4c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof 76ers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers | 47c | 101,872$47,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,434.65 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 54c | 30,694$16,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,052.65 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 53c | 28,273$15,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,205.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 53c | 9,769$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors | 53c | 8,246$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.62 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Raptors | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 46c | 2,005$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 52c | 1,895$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,461$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.95 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 54c | 1,421$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 54c | 1,228$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.78 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 53c | 1,208$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.32 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Raptors | 53c | 910.68$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.02 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Raptors | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked 76ers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Raptors | 58c | 359.15$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Raptors | 52c | 320$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors | 54c | 300.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers | 47c | 283$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed 76ers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed 76ers | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…0121backed Raptors | 55c | 185.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Raptors | 56c | 182$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Raptors | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked 76ers | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed 76ers | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Raptors | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Raptors | 55c | 128$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Raptors | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Raptors | 58c | 113.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Raptors | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Raptors | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…5813backed Raptors | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed 76ers | 45c | 99.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked 76ers | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…e89ebacked 76ers | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Raptors | 55c | 72.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed 76ers | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 53c | 66.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed 76ers | 45c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Raptors | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Raptors | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked 76ers | 38c | 57.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed 76ers | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked 76ers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Raptors | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed 76ers | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Raptors | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Raptors | 60c | 33.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed 76ers | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…7bb9backed 76ers | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…420ebacked 76ers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed 76ers | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…558dbacked Raptors | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed Raptors | 56c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Raptors | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…1be5backed 76ers | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Raptors | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Raptors | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)this page
- Raptors vs. 76ersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.