TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof 76ers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers42c92,991$39,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,291.3472450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors58c79,213$45,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,603.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Raptors57c14,091$8,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,077.528744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00047848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors59c1,596$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 76ers42c1,305$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.631,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked 76ers42c1,208$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.4734451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed 76ers42c1,030$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.492,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Raptors59c919.35$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.532,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Raptors58c847$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.742,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers41c756$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers42c513$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Raptors58c513$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4615461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Raptors59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.474757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed 76ers42c498$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7833147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8d…043dbacked 76ers43c498$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f4…47dabacked 76ers43c445$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed 76ers42c431$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.762349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked 76ers42c431$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.78142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked 76ers42c431$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7771747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Raptors61c403$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1719434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked 76ers42c399$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1131250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed 76ers42c399$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1147948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed 76ers42c399$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1187647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked 76ers42c318$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4773445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x915d…0d5abacked Raptors58c251$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d6…e477backed Raptors58c247$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed 76ers42c245$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7134053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed 76ers42c245$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7131754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed 76ers42c245$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7134254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers41c229.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.722,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9823753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9827350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9822048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9832649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9823850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.913155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.911741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9827251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9825250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9831852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.927353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed 76ers42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.927150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de4…ca53backed Raptors58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x912a…357bbacked 76ers42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed 76ers41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8234645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1928852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1124552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1914648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1145251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.194748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1110751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.118755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1815352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.194443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.116552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1136651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1826040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0215854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1115051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1131551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1915953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1926648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1110646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.194647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed 76ers42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1925150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Raptors59c182.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.542,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Raptors59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Raptors59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Raptors59c169.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.345042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Raptors55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.535447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4240…73abbacked 76ers41c150$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…512dbacked Raptors58c131$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…437cbacked Raptors59c112$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8427…1067backed Raptors59c108$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Raptors58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429336.6%34 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Raptors61c94.2$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.741,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b30…178cbacked Raptors59c94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers44c89.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…3598backed Raptors56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Raptors62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6520444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Raptors60c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.47557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed Raptors55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.518558.4%108 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Raptors58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2116559.4%98 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Raptors63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.629851%50 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a12…9d86backed 76ers43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Raptors53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1523348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Raptors61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.716669.9%116 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Raptors59c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.768450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed 76ers40c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Raptors58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4811553%61 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers42c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.023,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Raptors58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.022147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a51…ef48backed Raptors59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.426642.4%28 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fbd…6ffebacked Raptors59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.429042.2%38 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Raptors56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1180744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked 76ers41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf275…7050backed Raptors59c22.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.037955.7%44 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.