NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70ecabb44178ac6a550186e83078a5ce81cecf48acc222814908e677cb6eae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe579…f907backed Over | 49c | 23,821$11,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,672.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…8a7cbacked Under | 51c | 23,770$12,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,647.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ef…720ebacked Under | 51c | 23,575$12,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,551.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…5db4backed Over | 49c | 23,534$11,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,531.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…8cb3backed Under | 52c | 9,437$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,529.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec5…a219backed Under | 52c | 8,337$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 3,291$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.19 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 52c | 1,801$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.43 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 682.41$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.38 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 49c | 409.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 307.75$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 190.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…0121backed Under | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 169$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 47c | 149.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Over | 49c | 99.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Over | 56c | 98.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 65.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5962backed Over | 40c | 51.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…16d3backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Under | 52c | 33.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf546…de65backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Under | 52c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5this page
- Raptors vs. 76ersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.