Lol · resolved market
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Vietnam (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efae346c44a92e67f93a7f297c54661630ae096db35d25b771af66bd8dd21bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, Vietnam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Vietnam | 5c | 6,789$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.39 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 5,505$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.16 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Vietnam | 22c | 4,972$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Vietnam | 7c | 3,800$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Vietnam | 28c | 3,617$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked BNK FEARX | 78c | 3,183$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.32 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vietnam | 22c | 3,138$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.51 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9d46backed Vietnam | 6c | 3,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Vietnam | 31c | 2,729$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.82 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Vietnam | 13c | 2,668$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.12 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed Vietnam | 13c | 2,077$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Vietnam | 21c | 1,979$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.78 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Vietnam | 13c | 1,971$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed Vietnam | 12c | 1,647$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 1,590$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Vietnam | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…214ebacked Vietnam | 19c | 1,201$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Vietnam | 17c | 1,190$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vietnam | 19c | 1,151$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Vietnam | 21c | 1,151$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 1,097$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.49 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 914$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.08 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 910.04$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Vietnam | 22c | 900.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Vietnam | 18c | 876.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Vietnam | 22c | 818.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX | 70c | 780.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Vietnam | 33c | 720.63$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.61 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Vietnam | 13c | 699.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BNK FEARX | 77c | 634.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Vietnam | 11c | 599.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 212 | 49.1%104 W · 108 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vietnam | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vietnam | 23c | 432.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Vietnam | 11c | 431.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…56c7backed Vietnam | 3c | 413.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1753backed Vietnam | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vietnam | 18c | 387.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…87a9backed Vietnam | 27c | 355.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…ee7bbacked Vietnam | 19c | 348.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Vietnam | 12c | 342.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed BNK FEARX | 77c | 339$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 314.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Vietnam | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdc…06b4backed Vietnam | 4c | 299.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Vietnam | 22c | 241.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Vietnam | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vietnam | 13c | 231.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Vietnam | 20c | 207.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…b5a9backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…2108backed BNK FEARX | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 191.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Vietnam | 22c | 190$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Vietnam | 14c | 188.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…ba26backed Vietnam | 23c | 174.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Vietnam | 21c | 162.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vietnam | 17c | 153.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Vietnam | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Vietnam | 18c | 149.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Vietnam | 19c | 135.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 207 | 39.6%82 W · 125 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Vietnam | 23c | 135.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vietnam | 18c | 131$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked BNK FEARX | 77c | 129.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Vietnam | 17c | 117.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…a45cbacked Vietnam | 26c | 112.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX | 76c | 110.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 105.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…889bbacked Vietnam | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Vietnam | 13c | 101.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Vietnam | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 447 | 38%170 W · 277 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Vietnam | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…4624backed Vietnam | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Vietnam | 22c | 92.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 88.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…1126backed Vietnam | 20c | 76.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Vietnam | 24c | 63.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vietnam | 19c | 62.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…245ebacked Vietnam | 24c | 59.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 952 | 53.8%512 W · 440 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Vietnam | 24c | 56.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Vietnam | 24c | 54.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 51.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Vietnam | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked BNK FEARX | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Vietnam | 23c | 45.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed BNK FEARX | 77c | 43.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed BNK FEARX | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked BNK FEARX | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed BNK FEARX | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…3bc8backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked BNK FEARX | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…31e3backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 24.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 20.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…ee83backed Vietnam | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0d…b2eebacked BNK FEARX | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…750abacked Vietnam | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…9cdfbacked BNK FEARX | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.