NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Penguins

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6803ca3c33a24b48fc1c1123e231427cf70c754f9e5f2cac5af6dbb76f903f41

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Krakenof Kraken, Penguins
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $308,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $327,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins	53c	69,074$36,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,818.09	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Penguins	54c	26,616$14,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,293.07	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Kraken	47c	18,047$8,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,564.73	105	65.7%69 W · 36 L	+15.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kraken	46c	14,802$6,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,981.41	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Penguins	36c	12,824$4,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,616.51	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kraken	46c	12,736$5,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,877.44	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken	46c	12,033$5,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,556.33	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Kraken	46c	11,785$5,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,363.9	225	50.2%113 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Kraken	46c	10,700$4,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,778	135	53.3%72 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Kraken	46c	10,138$4,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,474.52	246	54.5%134 W · 112 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken	48c	8,995$4,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,677.36	705	47.7%336 W · 369 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kraken	73c	5,324$3,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,463.38	820	43%353 W · 467 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Kraken	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.98	194	51.5%100 W · 94 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins	55c	4,500$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,460	304	47.4%144 W · 160 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kraken	50c	4,434$2,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,198.4	618	48.1%297 W · 321 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins	54c	4,218$2,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,267.68	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Penguins	54c	4,200$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281.88	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken	48c	4,140$1,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,154.08	540	47.6%257 W · 283 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken	46c	3,900$1,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,101.41	574	53.8%309 W · 265 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Kraken	50c	3,702$1,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,867.49	584	67.5%394 W · 190 L	+93.1wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd5e1…ba20backed Penguins	54c	3,604$1,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,946.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Penguins	51c	3,377$1,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,722.33	881	51.2%451 W · 430 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Kraken	46c	3,333$1,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.82	133	63.2%84 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kraken	47c	3,139$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,669.84	448	48.9%219 W · 229 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Kraken	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,620	305	52.5%160 W · 145 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed Penguins	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,619.99	866	49.9%432 W · 434 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Kraken	47c	2,887$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530.35	378	57.4%217 W · 161 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Penguins	54c	2,846$1,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,536.83	133	33.1%44 W · 89 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Penguins	55c	2,800$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken	56c	2,755$1,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,207.8	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kraken	56c	2,727$1,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.49	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken	55c	2,701$1,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.74	950	49.1%466 W · 484 L	+12.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins	54c	2,558$1,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,381.3	976	51.6%504 W · 472 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Penguins	52c	2,400$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248	229	46.3%106 W · 123 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Penguins	1c	2,333$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	745	0.7%5 W · 740 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-94.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Kraken	43c	2,321$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,324.61	271	43.5%118 W · 153 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Kraken	47c	2,306$1,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.38	141	48.9%69 W · 72 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Penguins	54c	2,222$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.88	752	51.7%389 W · 363 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Kraken	48c	2,100$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092	836	52.8%441 W · 395 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Penguins	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	217	4.1%9 W · 208 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Penguins	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	47cpaid	-60%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken	46c	2,000$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.99	1,025	40.8%418 W · 607 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Penguins	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	309	46.3%143 W · 166 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Kraken	46c	1,500$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.98	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebf2…88fdbacked Kraken	49c	1,229$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.57	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…b39bbacked Kraken	49c	1,224$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.49	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Kraken	48c	1,200$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	271	50.2%136 W · 135 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb085…ae9cbacked Penguins	52c	1,158$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x083e…967cbacked Penguins	52c	1,154$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kraken	54c	1,018$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.31	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,163	2.3%27 W · 1,136 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kraken	46c	999.97$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.99	684	49.9%341 W · 343 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Penguins	53c	933$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.21	849	53.8%457 W · 392 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c85…cb03backed Kraken	47c	900$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477	12	50%6 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd6…25c5backed Penguins	54c	890$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.6	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kraken	47c	823$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.44	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Penguins	52c	781.53$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Penguins	54c	777$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.58	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb064…714dbacked Penguins	54c	750$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7990…53d0backed Kraken	47c	740$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.2	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Penguins	54c	733.16$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.26	1,143	50.8%581 W · 562 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken	46c	725.8$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.93	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken	48c	705.88$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.17	1,406	47%661 W · 745 L	+58.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kraken	46c	676.47$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.86	939	53.6%503 W · 436 L	+29.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Kraken	23c	659.47$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.65	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Kraken	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	412	48.3%199 W · 213 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…6937backed Kraken	48c	606.44$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.22	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54df…3449backed Kraken	46c	600$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Penguins	52c	586.46$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.96	695	50.1%348 W · 347 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Penguins	52c	580$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.6	470	51.5%242 W · 228 L	+12.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Penguins	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	236	53.8%127 W · 109 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken	62c	513.89$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.56	996	38.2%380 W · 616 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Penguins	55c	500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.93	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kraken	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	892	49.9%445 W · 447 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Kraken	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Kraken	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	759	46.6%354 W · 405 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Kraken	45c	499.99$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	459	55.1%253 W · 206 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Kraken	45c	484.85$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.67	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x870b…2181backed Penguins	54c	481.48$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x438f…28fabacked Kraken	47c	478.72$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.72	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Kraken	47c	471.9$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.11	199	42.7%85 W · 114 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Penguins	50c	457.39$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.26	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Penguins	55c	454.55$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-49%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Penguins	54c	439.13$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.64	490	53.7%263 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraken	47c	434$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.46	1,301	52.6%684 W · 617 L	+23.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Kraken	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Kraken	46c	400$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	311	48.2%150 W · 161 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Penguins	71c	370$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.65	521	72.6%378 W · 143 L	+36.7wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Penguins	55c	365.45$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Kraken	48c	362.24$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.75	439	44.6%196 W · 243 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kraken	48c	360.27$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.5	629	51.2%322 W · 307 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Kraken	47c	355.53$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.43	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-7.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Penguins	34c	350$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	293	19.8%58 W · 235 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Penguins	57c	349.94$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	203	45.3%92 W · 111 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Penguins	46c	344.68$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	250	50.4%126 W · 124 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Kraken	45c	313.83$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.19	273	57.5%157 W · 116 L	+18.6wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Penguins	52c	311.54$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Penguins	33c	306.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f8…40d0backed Penguins	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kraken vs. Penguinsthis page
Kraken vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
Kraken vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kraken vs. Penguins

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event