Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625d3122a66df6f25cb1c75193aab79abfc924a7e05c3a05d03581f5898500c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1adf…733fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 29,451$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…b9eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 14,850$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 6,521$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.51 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…9257backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 4,800$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 3,002$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.79 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 2,275$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.28 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 2,107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,500$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 1,500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 1,289$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 1,168$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.49 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 1,089$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.49 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…576ebacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 887.62$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed LGD Gaming | 80c | 770.4$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 748.47$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.93 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 742.54$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.17 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 709.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 634.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 581.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 567.87$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 500.41$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…031bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 345.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 319.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.56 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 271.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 267.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 251.4$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -13.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 247 | 50.6%125 W · 122 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 249.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 239.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 187 | 55.1%103 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +543.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…4769backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 181.8$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…570fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 177.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a61…e1b6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 149.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 149.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…6b53backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 134.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 128.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 116.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 91.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…c194backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 82.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 80.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…cc6abacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 45.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff90…5dc2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 40.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…ea91backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 38.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…8a09backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…978bbacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 37.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…9b25backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…1a46backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…0108backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 23.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…68f2backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.