TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, LGD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf5d…7253backed ThunderTalk Gaming37c2,682$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.623633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked ThunderTalk Gaming31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62013243.9%58 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked ThunderTalk Gaming1c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30280%0 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked LGD Gaming65c1,558$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.320151.7%104 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming2c1,546$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.661,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa229…576ebacked LGD Gaming69c1,279$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.52875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c1,270$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4226246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed LGD Gaming71c1,142$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.867451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed ThunderTalk Gaming3c1,095$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9618046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c1,080$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.081,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed ThunderTalk Gaming30c1,028$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5223547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LGD Gaming64c999.99$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3553,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming26c860.16$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1185046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd3…fefabacked LGD Gaming65c765.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.467460.8%45 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming34c749.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555939%23 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed ThunderTalk Gaming32c722$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2818744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed LGD Gaming65c700$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24440364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed ThunderTalk Gaming8c628.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed ThunderTalk Gaming33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked LGD Gaming65c602.97$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0514735.4%52 W · 95 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4854…0887backed ThunderTalk Gaming15c569.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-75.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked LGD Gaming74c568.55$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.211637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-43.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed LGD Gaming69c567.84$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.844555.6%25 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked LGD Gaming75c533.49$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5314150.4%71 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50af…87b7backed ThunderTalk Gaming7c500.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed LGD Gaming75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12512444.4%55 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed ThunderTalk Gaming19c500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9650547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming30c475.12$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8213525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6f…778fbacked LGD Gaming69c436.28$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.252373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed LGD Gaming68c401.33$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3320249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed LGD Gaming68c358.32$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2766947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba7…fea3backed LGD Gaming67c347.96$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.83742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming33c334$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.672,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked LGD Gaming69c302.25$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9228855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed ThunderTalk Gaming35c291.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10143151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…8a09backed LGD Gaming69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked LGD Gaming64c249.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.994852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed ThunderTalk Gaming32c207.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7240232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed LGD Gaming72c205.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2624750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed ThunderTalk Gaming34c204.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4620…2716backed LGD Gaming65c202.82$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.16838.2%26 W · 42 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed ThunderTalk Gaming33c200.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5646033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed ThunderTalk Gaming10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034631.2%108 W · 238 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked LGD Gaming75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5029536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed LGD Gaming72c179.62$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6237660.9%229 W · 147 L-28.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x469f…570fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming37c175.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.08540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed LGD Gaming70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.435933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked LGD Gaming68c150.66$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2170752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed LGD Gaming68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0684050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked LGD Gaming67c147$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5118053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed ThunderTalk Gaming35c140.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe205…9b1dbacked LGD Gaming72c139.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.671353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked LGD Gaming65c139.1$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6831435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed ThunderTalk Gaming37c135.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010136.6%37 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked LGD Gaming69c114.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2729335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…8e6cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c2…4769backed ThunderTalk Gaming39c90.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LGD Gaming62c87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.221,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked LGD Gaming63c78.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.045251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming38c69.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed ThunderTalk Gaming37c69.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.481844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f9…cc6abacked LGD Gaming68c66.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.266358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed ThunderTalk Gaming37c53.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.779151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.511245.5%51 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed LGD Gaming62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926354%142 W · 121 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03bf…a94bbacked LGD Gaming65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.515352.9%81 W · 72 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed5…339ebacked LGD Gaming62c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed ThunderTalk Gaming27c47.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8622654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8bc…7d58backed LGD Gaming71c45.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.374942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68e…8a50backed LGD Gaming66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.456749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd39c…fc6abacked LGD Gaming63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79753.6%52 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked LGD Gaming66c32.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3318755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4dd…c194backed ThunderTalk Gaming37c31.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc259…100fbacked LGD Gaming66c28.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.771369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked LGD Gaming75c26.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7779156.1%444 W · 347 L-2.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed LGD Gaming66c24.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1910450%52 W · 52 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd47e…68f2backed LGD Gaming67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ba…a5cfbacked LGD Gaming75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.