Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f6ec40fdc176d927755ad82111bc6453d97e628944e71c94d63b32a4d4a2c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 1,661$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.02 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 7c | 1,368$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 51c | 1,300$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 65c | 1,129$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 48c | 981.19$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.22 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Over | 48c | 898.76$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.36 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 850$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 258 | 57.4%148 W · 110 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 750$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.95 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 52c | 577.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.03 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 52c | 470$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 407.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 48c | 327.21$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 53c | 310.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 50c | 237.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 47c | 218$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Over | 48c | 208.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 51c | 130.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…dffbbacked Over | 48c | 104.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…141ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Under | 52c | 79.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…0086backed Over | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 50c | 24.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.