Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08b5e2a8b3f0207799615b489159fa24dd4e35e7d94b936f8a8bd685e8f5fb87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 54c | 399.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 101.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Over | 57c | 88.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 52c | 87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 54c | 83.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 56.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 46.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 54c | 37.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 36.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 46c | 35.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 38c | 31.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Over | 46c | 25.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 54c | 25.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.