World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d9f95989547891000863129e23579f5867a38bb15d17b6ca3cdb7cce5a52dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 1c | 3,548$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 11c | 1,778$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…58f4backed Yes | 10c | 986.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…dd39backed Yes | 12c | 815.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…047cbacked Yes | 38c | 716.29$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…ae89backed Yes | 16c | 599.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…6ab4backed Yes | 19c | 531.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 3c | 466.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +201.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf80a…2c2fbacked No | 52c | 391.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 366.26$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Yes | 27c | 344.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 330.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 23c | 265$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…9379backed Yes | 24c | 211.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 187.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 68c | 171.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 15c | 167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 78c | 156.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 13c | 152.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 77c | 143$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 79c | 129.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 31c | 127.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 17c | 119.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 46c | 119.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…9631backed Yes | 35c | 109.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 16c | 97.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…40febacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +337.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…2d36backed Yes | 37c | 87.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…0221backed Yes | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2,293.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 69.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes | 17c | 63.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 62c | 45.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 54c | 38.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 35.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 39c | 29.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…ffc0backed Yes | 47c | 28.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 46c | 25.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked No | 60c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…1f21backed Yes | 61c | 17.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 95% or higher in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
- Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes won
- Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.