World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x062a3ac2f218f3bc79df0b0ce91e25aee089667d7eeef88114afec3f3f9a9b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 60c | 2,307$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.55 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 1,467$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.88 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 40c | 769$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.43 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 5c | 728.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 22c | 634.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 372$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…24babacked Yes | 73c | 342.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 66c | 330.76$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 31c | 301.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 22c | 299.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.62 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 56c | 292.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 40c | 289.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 31c | 265$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 264.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 65c | 215.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…de62backed Yes | 47c | 197.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 34c | 167$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…ee56backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed No | 68c | 143.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 64c | 138.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 58c | 126.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 25c | 121.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 27c | 115.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 35c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 32c | 97.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 27c | 96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 19c | 93.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 84.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 42c | 83.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8360…83c9backed Yes | 28c | 83.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 81.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 67c | 74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…0221backed Yes | 34c | 72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2,293.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…6146backed Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 36c | 69.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…6306backed Yes | 54c | 65.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…291abacked Yes | 46c | 64.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 44c | 63.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 58c | 62.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…7756backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…4005backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 67c | 44.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…4ec8backed Yes | 36c | 44.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 61c | 41.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 76c | 38.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…c7efbacked Yes | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…35bbbacked Yes | 34c | 35.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 50c | 35.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff28…a560backed Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed No | 71c | 34.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…c3e8backed Yes | 72c | 30.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed Yes | 64c | 24.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 58c | 22.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…100fbacked No | 55c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…ed1cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 68c | 15.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?this page
- Will voter turnout be 95% or higher in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
- Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
- Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.