TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes3c4,058$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.112114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-74%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No64c1,356$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.252850.8%268 W · 260 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked Yes5c1,329$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.983432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60c…96dbbacked Yes24c1,256$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…711fbacked Yes38c1,045$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f2…5b51backed Yes50c1,033$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f5…1e93backed Yes46c872.87$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No65c739.81$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6236055.3%199 W · 161 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5804…4de5backed No59c673.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes2c567.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.354540%18 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1940…ac8dbacked Yes49c525.03$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No71c484.58$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.139254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…44fabacked Yes43c459.48$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No69c455.91$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9726632.7%87 W · 179 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b8…ef8abacked Yes47c438.71$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…f8c7backed No49c407.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ea…8980backed Yes31c396.42$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff28…a560backed Yes3c363.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d1…4e30backed No55c350$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.56942%29 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+22.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No50c342.39$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26c…48f5backed Yes49c334.4$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No60c323.11$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2454934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked No78c319.64$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8514947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292c…7756backed Yes21c287.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…fe52backed Yes40c265$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.051931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c90…1debbacked Yes50c251.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes30c250.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.123943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes19c248.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.271,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b2…7a17backed Yes52c235.08$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes42c228.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1222725.1%57 W · 170 L+0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes55c196.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.983740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No59c186.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2813268.9%91 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No50c177.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.395932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes21c167.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2116746.1%77 W · 90 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes51c156.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3446330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1296…abbfbacked Yes36c149.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed No62c138$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.826261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…5bb1backed No52c132.36$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cb…0357backed Yes59c130.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.363847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c129.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2939414%55 W · 339 L-71.9wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdf52…d3c9backed Yes31c128.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No63c126.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.293562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No51c126.17$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9710634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba3…57bcbacked No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed No48c115.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.13324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-57.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc944…18f9backed Yes52c115.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…4ec8backed Yes27c114.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No55c102.04$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9414225.4%36 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes44c100.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1327438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes44c100.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.091,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4718628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4845723.2%106 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1152…caa8backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x607f…e694backed Yes51c98.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes27c97.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.83650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes40c97.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.918129.6%24 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No52c97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5618445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No76c93.88$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4315076%114 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No58c88.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7731635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e69…14e0backed No60c83.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No50c78.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.814761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No67c77.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.627951.9%41 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7528558.9%168 W · 117 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf759…0221backed Yes40c72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+2,293.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed No46c69.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.568552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes33c61.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.154117.1%7 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes46c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7415356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246139.3%24 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.24654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes58c57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0614637%54 W · 92 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1323…f868backed Yes40c55.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No68c55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8514753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7570…ffc0backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No61c47.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6111045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No54c47.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.718741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea86…7aacbacked Yes46c47.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.369656.3%54 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d3…06e3backed No54c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.24666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.092853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.88854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f90…e17fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0550…c7efbacked Yes44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes29c35.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.285337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6c…35bbbacked Yes41c35.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Yes39c34.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be5…6c75backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f33…9bb4backed Yes65c30.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc52e…2d78backed Yes40c30.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f0…9fd2backed Yes47c29.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1f…04f1backed No48c27.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No42c26.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1322029.5%65 W · 155 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b2…4861backed Yes46c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Yes59c25.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed No80c25.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.03887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick77cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55448.1%26 W · 28 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick64cpaid-36.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No61c22.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7815558.7%91 W · 64 L+0.8wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8414553.8%78 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.