Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a79328ec8dacec06ca77e364bb9da538e529744a601a94fbb7cf78825dbe9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $923,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $866,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $923,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc570…8c3bbacked No | 0c | 58,115$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 1c | 31,390$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.4 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…8669backed No | 0c | 22,922$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e2…30acbacked No | 0c | 22,067$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…6158backed No | 0c | 21,104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeea…3507backed No | 0c | 20,577$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…d300backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…946dbacked No | 0c | 16,099$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…fdcdbacked No | 0c | 15,956$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…9252backed No | 10c | 15,713$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…2d3bbacked No | 0c | 13,952$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 0c | 12,505$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…6219backed No | 0c | 11,313$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 0c | 11,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…39b0backed No | 1c | 11,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…1120backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked No | 0c | 9,998$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 9,859$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…de4abacked No | 0c | 8,050$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…ff13backed No | 0c | 7,998$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…84afbacked No | 14c | 7,694$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6f…e536backed No | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…2b55backed No | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…cde3backed No | 0c | 5,678$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c31…0cf9backed No | 0c | 5,550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe001…13c1backed No | 1c | 5,212$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 2c | 5,056$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…6938backed No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…26d1backed No | 6c | 4,730$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 0c | 4,463$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…99a4backed No | 22c | 4,220$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3732…43acbacked No | 17c | 3,759$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d1…f7abbacked No | 0c | 3,580$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6f…d1fdbacked No | 1c | 3,417$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…49c8backed No | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 8c | 3,005$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.38 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 25c | 3,000$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 64c | 2,753$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 2,735$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed No | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 2,490$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…17b0backed No | 9c | 2,161$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…5f37backed No | 1c | 2,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 20c | 2,000$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 1,740$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked No | 2c | 1,685$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…bb41backed No | 33c | 1,638$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.56 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…86e3backed No | 17c | 1,585$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…d324backed No | 14c | 1,463$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,433$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.94 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…8a13backed No | 5c | 1,393$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4d…f155backed No | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed No | 22c | 1,331$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 27cpaid | +332.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed No | 14c | 1,317$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…9457backed No | 2c | 1,308$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked No | 7c | 1,250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked No | 18c | 1,177$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…c537backed No | 24c | 1,131$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4216backed No | 25c | 1,095$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 15c | 1,083$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 1,061$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…ee15backed No | 33c | 1,041$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 23c | 1,014$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +592.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…a995backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 10c | 938.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…6db2backed Yes | 79c | 932.41$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 14c | 906.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed No | 2c | 863.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…849dbacked Yes | 78c | 803.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…68a2backed Yes | 79c | 800.89$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed No | 14c | 737.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…9a0bbacked No | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed No | 25c | 673.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed No | 13c | 665.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39d…4abcbacked No | 11c | 633.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…cf38backed No | 9c | 632.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730b…d50abacked No | 9c | 624.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb2…3637backed No | 9c | 595.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 20c | 576.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 23c | 556.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 15c | 541.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 14c | 540.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +392.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…6e8cbacked No | 37c | 539.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…400abacked No | 14c | 526.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…3d4abacked No | 10c | 510.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…1ffabacked No | 4c | 455.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked No | 11c | 451.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed No | 22c | 449.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93f…445dbacked No | 3c | 427.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…4f31backed No | 9c | 426$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 10c | 421.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c7…985cbacked No | 18c | 412.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6062…dec2backed Yes | 75c | 400.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed No | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.