Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e10022b250ed02d7c16dc159baa4822a4b35f1333e36e2fad968cb26efaf8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 53c | 2,375$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.01 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked No | 50c | 2,187$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…55dfbacked No | 60c | 1,990$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.37 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 42c | 1,953$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.48 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,430$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…c3c7backed Yes | 41c | 1,222$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 52c | 1,208$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.5 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 951.49$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.79 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 34c | 895.1$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.89 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…b7a9backed No | 76c | 807.43$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 36c | 800.73$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.09 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…5a25backed No | 62c | 800.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…517dbacked No | 79c | 800$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 64c | 757.83$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.83 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 35c | 741.11$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.95 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed Yes | 45c | 736.48$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.85 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…be17backed No | 69c | 727.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 59c | 715.31$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.31 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…cb34backed Yes | 39c | 666.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 44c | 582.27$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.7 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…2482backed Yes | 64c | 561.63$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 25c | 546.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.11 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 44c | 536.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 50c | 529.27$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…93a3backed Yes | 11c | 521.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 52c | 429$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…ded7backed No | 67c | 422.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…4eb7backed Yes | 35c | 400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a208backed No | 50c | 376.95$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 38c | 367$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 63c | 366.49$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 44c | 354.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 344.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…d440backed No | 65c | 323.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4153…c423backed No | 58c | 313.14$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 52c | 312$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 70c | 312$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…75f3backed No | 59c | 262.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Yes | 43c | 262$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed No | 77c | 258.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…5d0ebacked No | 60c | 255.87$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fe42backed No | 60c | 249.17$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…5057backed No | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 39c | 224.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed Yes | 46c | 207.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked No | 74c | 202.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…d6d9backed No | 50c | 200.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 61c | 189.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 43c | 187.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…5bd1backed No | 55c | 183.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 68c | 162.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…fcc7backed No | 52c | 162.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…628cbacked No | 71c | 159.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed Yes | 41c | 158.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd82…8f2abacked No | 70c | 157$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 50c | 151.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 151.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 38c | 147.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 122 | 25.4%31 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…80f6backed No | 55c | 144.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 42c | 144$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…e628backed No | 63c | 140.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…bfd0backed No | 61c | 125.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…e196backed No | 45c | 123.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef95…88c0backed Yes | 41c | 121.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 55c | 120.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…679ebacked No | 72c | 113.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…21d0backed No | 71c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 110.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 51c | 109.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100f…5157backed Yes | 47c | 105.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed No | 52c | 103.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 35c | 101.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…a11dbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e2f7backed No | 58c | 99.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 40c | 98.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…450bbacked Yes | 37c | 97.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 34c | 96.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…a294backed No | 66c | 82.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 60c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…22c0backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…d96bbacked No | 75c | 79.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 33c | 79.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 35c | 76.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Yes | 41c | 73.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…1651backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…ebccbacked No | 49c | 70.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed No | 60c | 67.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7930…b208backed No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 33cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed No | 60c | 64.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked Yes | 46c | 63.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed No | 68c | 63.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 37c | 63.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Yes | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 68c | 61.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?this page
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.