Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x886ab56bcb2e5caf753b934187594e2fa14514a0c5f66c3d86e79284a6e3dd8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 56c | 1,990$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.66 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 31c | 1,211$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.81 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed No | 62c | 1,053$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.68 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 53c | 822.48$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.43 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 40c | 760.88$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.29 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 28c | 719.85$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 56c | 715.58$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.33 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 603.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.89 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 48c | 487.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.88 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 51c | 306.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 27c | 230$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 45c | 228.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 211.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 15c | 198.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 38c | 181.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 48c | 181.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 134.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…0b79backed Yes | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Yes | 46c | 120.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 115.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 79c | 103.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…76d4backed Yes | 39c | 87.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 50c | 86.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…6468backed Yes | 63c | 85.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed Yes | 61c | 85.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 49c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 57c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 37c | 75.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 75.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 69.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 37c | 57.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked Yes | 66c | 57.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…bee7backed Yes | 77c | 56.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 55c | 54.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 20c | 53.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…864ebacked No | 24c | 51.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…dacfbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 43c | 48.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 26c | 45.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…8795backed No | 60c | 44.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 46c | 44.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 44.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 52c | 42.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 42c | 41.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 63c | 36.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 63c | 34.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 51c | 34.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 57c | 33.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 33c | 31.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 56c | 30.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 52c | 29.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed No | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 133 | 23.3%31 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 36c | 28.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 64c | 28.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 57c | 27.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6714…fad2backed No | 54c | 24.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…9ba6backed Yes | 43c | 24.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 61c | 20.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 60-79 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.