Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc66fdf8fdc7dabed948a69c8b48e263b14d06628b438712095902c353c30ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 55c | 2,141$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.06 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 7c | 1,385$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 794.65$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 12c | 594.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 47c | 571.26$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.09 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 71c | 378$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.96 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 12c | 347.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 124 | 11.3%14 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 33c | 292.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 51c | 290.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 76c | 228.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked No | 66c | 152.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…3e16backed Yes | 35c | 138$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 119.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked No | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 68c | 104.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 28c | 90.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 34c | 88.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked No | 66c | 69.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 27c | 65.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 22c | 53.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 52c | 48.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed No | 80c | 48.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed Yes | 43c | 45.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 73c | 41.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 67c | 40.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 63c | 30.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 26.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 76c | 26.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed No | 79c | 24.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…a467backed No | 67c | 23.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…569fbacked No | 68c | 20.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83df…362fbacked Yes | 75c | 20.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.