Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4202ae5e5622aaf648acee69b035ac3039f7623610d7fe302902e38753e502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 62c | 2,288$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.89 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…5a2abacked Yes | 2c | 1,958$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,419$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.38 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…c323backed Yes | 2c | 1,302$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 32c | 972.37$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.02 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 8.8%6 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 6c | 660.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 4c | 489.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 265.37$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 264.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…9331backed Yes | 10c | 234.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 11c | 227.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 64c | 220$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 44c | 163.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 44c | 160.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 124 | 11.3%14 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 71c | 155.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes | 9c | 118.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83df…362fbacked Yes | 12c | 109.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 78c | 107.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 104.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 54c | 65.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked Yes | 43c | 60.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab6…36f3backed No | 39c | 48.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 29c | 46.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9439…9d6fbacked Yes | 44c | 42.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 31.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 37c | 29.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.