AI · resolved market
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4d54b18c84e172b7d066c12bc0460e066814ce12a7402d01f7df73960efece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 31c | 12,302$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 8c | 10,001$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…a086backed No | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…f0adbacked Yes | 65c | 8,897$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0734…18dfbacked No | 36c | 4,258$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…acefbacked No | 35c | 4,046$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.2 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 8c | 2,398$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…d076backed Yes | 63c | 2,358$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…9aafbacked No | 10c | 2,250$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 12c | 1,742$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked No | 10c | 1,700$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…c212backed No | 13c | 1,651$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 15c | 1,623$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,460$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…4325backed No | 12c | 1,249$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 34c | 1,200$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked No | 10c | 999.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 863.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…fe8cbacked Yes | 74c | 858.34$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 11c | 839.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…eddebacked No | 37c | 823.73$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.21 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 818.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 55c | 798.41$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.28 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed No | 38c | 699.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed No | 33c | 699.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…62b3backed No | 14c | 690.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…e196backed Yes | 66c | 690.42$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…9e39backed Yes | 63c | 664.53$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 37c | 656.37$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.13 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…62c1backed Yes | 60c | 559.7$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 66c | 539.9$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 9c | 499.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Yes | 65c | 491.84$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…ecb4backed Yes | 67c | 438.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 7c | 418.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…e427backed No | 26c | 412.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…a5b6backed Yes | 65c | 395.46$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 31c | 385.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…a7febacked No | 13c | 384.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3882…146dbacked Yes | 65c | 350.85$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed No | 6c | 334.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed No | 9c | 329.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 36c | 319.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 312.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…9b67backed Yes | 64c | 302.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 68c | 300.04$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…5462backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…dbaebacked Yes | 65c | 296.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…742bbacked No | 37c | 255.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 26c | 246.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…8f4ebacked Yes | 67c | 240.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…e8f1backed No | 36c | 232.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…1c94backed No | 38c | 227.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b1…64d1backed Yes | 65c | 222.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked Yes | 60c | 214.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…23cabacked No | 35c | 212.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…352cbacked Yes | 74c | 211.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…1c4bbacked No | 7c | 211.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…add8backed Yes | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 7c | 206.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…494dbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 6c | 199.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 62c | 198.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…c3d7backed Yes | 66c | 194.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 9c | 181.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2,281.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…9212backed No | 9c | 175.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…09afbacked No | 12c | 161.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e3bcbacked Yes | 63c | 154.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…8033backed Yes | 65c | 149.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…fc7bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 133.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…78d4backed No | 36c | 131.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…6f35backed Yes | 66c | 126.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…a799backed No | 17c | 126.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed No | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed No | 41c | 115.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6119…346ebacked Yes | 68c | 114.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 65c | 110.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…b34cbacked Yes | 67c | 107.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…4dc1backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…b30dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…9f45backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 35c | 84.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…b413backed No | 39c | 79.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…902bbacked Yes | 61c | 79.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…1763backed Yes | 64c | 75.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 60c | 72.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 65c | 70.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…e454backed Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.