AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0811ed7f71c2466d04f9ba801c0e21c9cfb016385cdff97b5c9984df0fa5801e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 9c | 6,978$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.24 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 7c | 2,802$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 1,837$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 5c | 1,671$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…e623backed Yes | 71c | 1,300$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 7c | 1,185$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…ab29backed No | 9c | 1,163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…8600backed Yes | 13c | 1,048$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…6e92backed Yes | 13c | 982$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 7c | 953.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca31…dbcfbacked Yes | 13c | 876$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 14c | 848.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8a24backed Yes | 13c | 821$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…5cffbacked Yes | 57c | 816.08$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 61c | 742.83$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 13c | 706.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 4c | 687.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 680.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…9827backed Yes | 13c | 666$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…382cbacked Yes | 51c | 657.53$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Yes | 67c | 642.21$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 15c | 636.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 50c | 620.11$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.11 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 55c | 567.09$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 543.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 30c | 535.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…70adbacked No | 9c | 535.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 21c | 518.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3466…ea7abacked Yes | 79c | 511.19$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…d8f1backed Yes | 64c | 501.41$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514a…dad1backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 24c | 482.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0822backed Yes | 55c | 444.04$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 11c | 420.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a818backed Yes | 30c | 418.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…eae9backed Yes | 20c | 414.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +396.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 38c | 394.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.04 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 3c | 389.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 6c | 367.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 32c | 337.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 20c | 330.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 323.65$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 312.75$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.61 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 6c | 309.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 65c | 308.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 299.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…d928backed Yes | 13c | 298$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…dfdabacked No | 11c | 291.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…2ec9backed Yes | 72c | 277.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…e1d9backed No | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…484cbacked Yes | 65c | 270$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 34c | 260.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed No | 10c | 258.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…445cbacked Yes | 43c | 251.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…797dbacked No | 13c | 231.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 78c | 226.42$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 212.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 13c | 211.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…d439backed Yes | 48c | 207.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…eba6backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed Yes | 61c | 196.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 8c | 196.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a3…f58fbacked Yes | 51c | 194.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…1326backed Yes | 23c | 193.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Yes | 55c | 186.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 7c | 186.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…11d8backed No | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…25a1backed Yes | 65c | 180$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 45c | 179.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…5f8abacked Yes | 77c | 178.51$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…d07cbacked Yes | 79c | 176.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +281.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 8c | 173.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 165.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba7…3c46backed Yes | 25c | 165.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…0becbacked Yes | 58c | 158.53$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a6…b440backed Yes | 29c | 158$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…307bbacked Yes | 77c | 155.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…0eacbacked Yes | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 150.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…31b7backed Yes | 75c | 150.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…3fd3backed Yes | 77c | 147.49$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae9…0f9cbacked Yes | 79c | 146.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 8c | 146.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x809f…a8c2backed Yes | 35c | 144.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…5fa8backed No | 46c | 142.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…5c57backed Yes | 73c | 141.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…952abacked Yes | 79c | 138.42$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 49c | 137.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…9b7bbacked Yes | 79c | 136.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…febebacked Yes | 74c | 134.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 15c | 134.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…a593backed Yes | 79c | 134.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 9c | 131$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…31c9backed Yes | 50c | 129.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 12c | 128.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 16c | 128$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.